Canada vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
CAN
5 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
JAM
2 - 3
CAN
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 3
MEX
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 4
HND
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
SCO
31%
30%
40%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
SCO
1 - 1
FIN
71%
21%
9%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1992 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
SCO
4 - 0
SMR
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
ROU
1 - 0
SCO
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |