Canada vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1995 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIR
39%
31%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 1
POR
26%
31%
43%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 3
NED
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
ESP
18%
27%
56%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
GER
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
NIR
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 1
ISL
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
PER
6 - 0
CHI
27%
30%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
CHI
0 - 3
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |