Canada vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 1
ISL
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BRB
1 - 4
CAN
6%
16%
78%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
BRB
1 - 4
CAN
6%
16%
78%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
USA
4 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
JAM
2 - 0
BMU
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
MEX
2 - 1
BMU
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 92 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BMU
0 - 0
GTM
15%
20%
66%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BMU
1 - 5
MEX
8%
19%
73%
|
54 | 91 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
PAN
0 - 2
BMU
76%
18%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +2 |