Canada vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAN
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
TTO
1 - 2
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 2
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 5
BEL
15%
24%
62%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
YUG
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1989 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
47%
29%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1988 |
CSK
0 - 0
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |