WC Play Offs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Canada vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
8 - 0
CAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 2
MTQ
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
1 - 1
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 0
KOR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1993 |
KWT
3 - 1
AUS
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
KWT
0 - 1
AUS
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
AUS
6 - 1
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |