Canada vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
GLP
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
80%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 2
ECU
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 1
CAN
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRB
4 - 0
LCA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ABW
4 - 2
LCA
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LCA
2 - 2
CUW
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUR
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |