Canada vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
0 - 3
TUR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 3
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 2
CHI
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1995 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIR
39%
31%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 1
POR
26%
31%
43%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1995 |
JAM
1 - 0
TTO
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1995 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUB
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
JAM
2 - 1
LCA
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
JAM
0 - 0
CUB
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1994 |
JAM
0 - 3
USA
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |