Canada vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BLZ
1 - 1
CAN
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 0
BLZ
77%
17%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
CRC
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HND
1 - 1
RSA
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
HND
1 - 1
GTM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ECU
2 - 0
HND
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 3
HND
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
HTI
1 - 0
HND
23%
24%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |