Canada vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 0
TTO
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 0
COL
17%
25%
58%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2000 |
TTO
0 - 1
CAN
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
MEX
1 - 2
CAN
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
KOR
0 - 0
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 1
HND
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
CHI
5 - 2
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 3
HND
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |