Canada vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
77%
17%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
BEL
28%
30%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
SLV
2 - 1
HND
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
HND
0 - 0
GTM
51%
28%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
CRC
2 - 0
HND
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
HND
3 - 0
PAN
57%
26%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
PAN
2 - 0
HND
39%
28%
32%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |