Canada vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
BLZ
0 - 4
CAN
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CAN
4 - 0
BLZ
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 0
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BRB
0 - 1
CAN
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
IRL
3 - 0
CAN
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
GTM
4 - 1
TTO
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
37%
27%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 1
GTM
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 1
GTM
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GTM
3 - 1
SUR
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |