Canada vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
GTM
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
NIR
1 - 1
CAN
61%
23%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1998 |
CAN
1 - 0
MKD
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
CRC
3 - 1
CAN
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
CAN
0 - 3
USA
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
GTM
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
HND
0 - 2
GTM
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |