Canada vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
NIR
1 - 1
CAN
61%
23%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1998 |
CAN
1 - 0
MKD
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
CRC
3 - 1
CAN
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
CAN
0 - 3
USA
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CAN
2 - 2
MEX
21%
28%
52%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
HND
0 - 2
GTM
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |