Canada vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
GER
4 - 1
CAN
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
CAN
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
LBY
2 - 4
CAN
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
USA
4 - 0
CAN
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUB
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
2 - 0
CUB
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TTO
1 - 3
CUB
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CUB
2 - 0
ATG
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | +1 |