Canada vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 0
DMA
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 32 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 2
CAN
9%
16%
76%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 3
CAN
11%
18%
72%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRC
1 - 1
SLV
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
CRC
2 - 2
JAM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
2 - 2
CRC
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
CRC
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
CRC
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |