Canada vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1996 |
BRA
4 - 1
CAN
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 98 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAN
3 - 1
HND
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAN
70%
19%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1995 |
CAN
3 - 1
TTO
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1995 |
CAN
3 - 1
JAM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
CRC
2 - 1
BLZ
75%
17%
7%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
JAM
2 - 0
CRC
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |