Canada vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
ECU
2 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 0
GRC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
CHI
2%
26%
72%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 3
GRC
47%
23%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 1
GRC
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1988 |
CRC
2 - 1
GTM
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1988 |
GTM
1 - 2
CRC
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1985 |
CRC
3 - 1
TTO
91%
7%
3%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CRC
0 - 0
CAN
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |