WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Final
Global 4-1
Canada vs Belize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
CRC
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 0
DMA
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 2
CAN
9%
16%
76%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BLZ
3 - 0
DOM
28%
23%
50%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 2
BLZ
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
CYM
1 - 1
BLZ
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BLZ
0 - 0
CYM
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
SLV
2 - 0
BLZ
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |