Canada vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 3
MEX
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
HND
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MKD
3 - 1
AZE
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 0
AND
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 1
KAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
AZE
2 - 1
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |