Campos vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
17º
17º
0
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 76 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 56 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 47 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
54% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
FRR
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
INT
1 - 2
CAM
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SJO
1 - 0
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 1
CLL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CLL
4 - 1
SLL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SNF
5 - 1
CLL
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CLL
0 - 1
MNC
21%
23%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
CLL
43%
24%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |