Campos vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
OLA
3 - 0
CAA
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAA
2 - 2
AUD
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SER
3 - 1
CAA
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAA
0 - 1
NCI
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
CAA
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
5 - 0
BON
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
3 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
DUQ
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DUQ
0 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |