Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Campodarsego vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campodarsego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SDA
2 - 1
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
TAM
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
CAM
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACE
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAM
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
CRE
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
CAM
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
BUS
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +3 |