Campobasso vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAM
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
AVE
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |