Campobasso vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 2
ARZ
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 2
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
BOR
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 2
FOL
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 2
APR
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |