Campobasso vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 0
PES
41%
33%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAM
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 0
PIS
34%
33%
33%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAM
50%
30%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 1
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
VIC
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
CAG
3 - 1
CES
48%
31%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
CES
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
43%
31%
27%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |