Paranaense 1 Final
Global 1-4
Campo Mourão vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campo Mourão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
3 - 2
COT
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
COT
1 - 0
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ATP
1 - 2
CAM
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
2 - 1
ATP
8%
15%
77%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 2
COT
16%
25%
60%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
IRA
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
IRA
0 - 1
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
ENG
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |