Campinense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 0
CAM
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
PPE
28%
27%
46%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
53%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
BAH
75%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |