Campinense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 3
CAM
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
CSP
1 - 1
CAM
22%
27%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |