Campinense vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
AUT
66%
20%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAM
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
SPB
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAO
5 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |