Campinense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
BOT
13%
22%
66%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAM
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
TRE
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 2
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |