Campinense vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CSP
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
CAM
17%
21%
63%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
NAC
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
TRE
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |