Campinense vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAM
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YPI
2 - 1
CAM
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
PET
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PET
2 - 2
HOR
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAM
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 3
HOR
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
62%
20%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |