Campinense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
ATL
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
IFC
5 - 1
CAM
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 3
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |