Campinense vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 1
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
SOU
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 1
DUQ
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 2
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BAN
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
DUQ
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 0
DUQ
89%
9%
3%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |