Campinense vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
JAC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAM
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 6
CAM
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAC
4 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEN
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |