Campbelltown City vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
2º
22
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campbelltown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
ADE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 2
CAM
18%
20%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 4
ADE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 3
CAM
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAP
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
ADO
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 5
NEM
9%
16%
76%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 3
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 4
CRO
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |