Campbelltown City vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
2º
40
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
59.5% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campbelltown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
CAM
19%
21%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
0 - 5
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 3
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CAM
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
2 - 1
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
4 - 3
ADE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 3
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 2
MCI
6%
13%
82%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 3
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 0
ILS
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | -1 |