Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
2º
32
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
40.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campbelltown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
CAM
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
ADO
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 3
CAM
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 3
ADE
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +2 |