Campbell vs USC Upstate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campbell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 3
CFC
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
GWU
0 - 1
CFC
12%
17%
72%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
CFC
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
8 - 0
PST
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
HPT
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
USC Upstate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GWU
1 - 2
SCU
13%
17%
69%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 2
HPT
33%
22%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NCA
2 - 3
SCU
19%
20%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
SCU
11%
16%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
5 - 1
PST
86%
9%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |