Campanario vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campanario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UCL
2 - 0
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 3
GIM
72%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
1 - 3
CAM
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
3 - 0
ZAL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CAM
12%
20%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ZAF
2 - 1
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
UCL
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 5
VIL
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
9 - 0
CDB
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ZAL
0 - 2
VIL
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |