Campanario vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campanario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 6
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
CAB
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDN
0 - 3
CAM
38%
23%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAM
45%
24%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
4 - 4
CAM
9%
15%
77%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
39%
25%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
24%
23%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |