Cambridge United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 3
CAM
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
4 - 0
GOS
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
WEL
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 4
BRA
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KID
1 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |