Cambridge United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
STE
3 - 2
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAM
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAM
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
STF
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 1
OPA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
WYC
1 - 1
LUT
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LUT
3 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 0
BCF
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
LUT
24%
28%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |