EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-4
Cambridge United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
CAM
0 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
CAM
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
CAM
2 - 0
LEY
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
COL
1 - 1
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
HER
0 - 1
HUL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
CAM
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
HER
2 - 0
ROC
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
HAR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |