FA Cup 1/128
Global 0-0
Cambridge United vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOL
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 0
CAM
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POS
1 - 0
CAM
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WYC
2 - 3
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
CUR
59%
24%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 0
LEA
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 0
CAM
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
CUR
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |