Cambridge United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAM
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
YEO
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 1
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 3
CUM
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
CRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 0
CRE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 6
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -2 |