Cambridge United vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
STF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAM
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 4
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
5 - 0
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
5 - 4
NOT
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |