Câmara de Lobos vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
79.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Câmara de Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CAM
0 - 1
MOR
23%
22%
56%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
EST
2 - 0
CAM
86%
11%
3%
|
15 | 69 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BOA
2 - 1
NAC
60%
25%
16%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |