Camacha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAM
39%
25%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
MIR
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
OSL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAM
61%
24%
15%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAM
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
OSL
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAM
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
VAR
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIZ
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |