Camacha vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 1
CAM
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OSL
0 - 1
CAM
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
OSL
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
MER
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
FAM
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
MER
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
VIZ
23%
26%
50%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |